Taiwan’s top military official said last Wednesday that the country’s military “situation” is at its worst in four decades.
Chiu Kuo-cheng’s comments came after China flew 150 aircraft near the island over the previous four days, The Wall Street Journal reported.
The Trends Journal has reported extensively on the rise of China and its growing influence in the region and around the world. In our 30 March article, “CHINA TO TAKE TAIWAN: A MATTER OF TIME,” we forecast that at some point, China, as with Hong Kong, would take complete control of Taiwan. (Also see “TOP TRENDS 2021: THE RISE OF CHINA.”)
We have pointed out that Beijing spends 25 times the amount that Taipei does on its military. Taipei’s parliament is considering a nearly $9 billion injection over the next five years that would be earmarked for new missile systems, but those will likely not result in Chinese President Xi Jinping losing any sleep at night.
Chiu also said China will be able to launch a full-scale invasion with few losses by 2025.
Tsai Ing-wen, Taiwan’s president, told Beijing to “exercise a certain amount of restraint two avoid accidentally sparking conflict.”
She wrote in Foreign Affairs that if Taiwan were to fall, the “consequences would be catastrophic for regional peace and the democratic alliance system. It would signal that in today’s global contest of values, authoritarianism has the upper hand over democracy.”
Deng Xijun, China’s ambassador to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, took to Twitter later Wednesday to say that China’s People’s Liberation Army “sent a strong warning to the Taiwan secessionists and their foreign supporters.”
“China will take all measures necessary to crush any ‘Taiwan independence’ attempts, which are doomed to fail,” he tweeted.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken called China’s recent actions “provocative.”
“What I hope is that these actions will cease because there’s always the possibility of miscalculation, of miscommunication, and that’s dangerous,” he said.
When Chinese fighters were contacted by a Taiwanese combat air traffic controller during one of these sorties, the “pilot dismissed the challenge with an obscenity involving the officer’s mother,” The New York Times reported.
The Taipei Times reported that the U.S., Japan, and the United Kingdom have been conducting naval operations in the region.
Danny Russel, a former assistant secretary of state, told The Times, “There’s very little insulation left on the wiring in the relationship and it’s not hard to imagine getting some crossed wires and that starting a fire.”
Peaceful Takeover? Ha, Ha!
Last Saturday, following the China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) sending 56 bombers and other aircraft on sorties near Taiwan, President Xi declared that, “The historical task of the complete reunification of the motherland must be fulfilled and can definitely be fulfilled.”
The next day, Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen said there would be no Chinese takeover, stating that “Nobody can force Taiwan to take the path that China has laid out for us.”
TREND FORECAST: Beijing has long declared that Taiwan is part of its territory under its “One China Principle,” and it is the mainland’s territory under its Constitution. We forecast that just as Beijing has clamped down on Hong Kong protests and taken full control, so, too, will they take control of Taiwan when they are ready.
Despite condemnations when they do so, there will be no military forces from other nations that will challenge Communist China’s military might. Indeed, America, with the largest military in the world, has not won a war since World War II and cannot even win against third-world nations, such as Afghanistan, after invading that nation some 20 years ago.
TREND FORECAST: China had flown 38 warplanes towards Taiwan on 1 October, which is the National Day of the People’s Republic of China. The 3-day celebration marks when Chairman Mao Zedong proclaimed the founding of the People’s Republic.
Indeed, as we had long noted, Beijing is making its message clear. China’s state media called the missions a demonstration of the country’s ability to conduct “a wartime air attack.”
While the Economist noted the planes did not fly over Taiwan, the question is: What will Taipei’s reaction be if these planes do? The magazine reported that two scholars from the Strategic and International Studies think tank said Taiwan may have three zones: the “surveillance zone,” which is 30 nautical miles off the coast, the “warning zone,” which is 24 nautical miles off the coast, and the “destruction zone,” which is 12 nautical miles.
This is total “scholar” bullshit.
As we noted, should Taiwan attempt to militarily stop a Chinese invasion, the Island will be destroyed and its population massacred. And again, the United States could not even defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan after spending over $2 trillion in a 20 year disgraceful loss.
Thus, if the U.S. and its NATO allies could not defeat an army of lightly armed 80,000 Taliban troops, only idiots, morons, psychopaths and “scholars” would believe America and its war partners will defeat China’s 2.8 million war-ready 21st century PLA.