Category: TRENDS ON THE U.S. ECONOMIC FRONT

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MAJOR COMPANIES STORING CASH IN REAL ESTATE: WIN OR LOSE?

Publicly-traded U.S. companies are holding a record $2.7 trillion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, an increase of 90 percent from 2011’s fourth quarter, according to S&P Global. For example, Alphabet Inc., Google’s parent company, had $135.9 billion in cash at the end of this year’s second quarter, S&P said. With interest rates at...

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CONSUMER SPENDING: UP OR DOWN?

U.S. consumers spent 0.8 percent more in August than in July, after July’s figure was revised downward to -0.1 percent, the U.S. Commerce Department reported on 1 October. As we had forecast the more fearful people became of the Delta virus, the less they would spend. Thus, the variant fear had slowed consumers’ consumption mid-summer...

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SPOTLIGHT: INFLATION SPREADS

FED’S KEY INFLATION GAUGE HITS 30-YEAR HIGH The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, rose to 3.6 percent in August from a year earlier, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported, the number’s biggest jump since May 1991. The index excludes the costs of energy and food. The...

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SPOTLIGHT: THE “BIGS” KEEP GETTING BIGGER

BUYOUT LENDING SOARING Facing a possible hike in capital gains tax rates proposed by President Joe Biden, companies are scurrying to conclude mergers and acquisitions ahead of it—and lenders are accommodating them with billions in cheap loans, enabled by the U.S. Federal Reserve keeping its base interest rate barely above zero. This year through September,...

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IPOs MOVE TO DIGITAL PLATFORM

After decades of transactions handled through phone calls and handwritten notes, initial public stock offerings (IPOs) are going digital. Capital Markets Gateway (CGM), as the new online platform is called, will list which new deals are pricing when, the terms, and will allow firms to place orders through their existing relationships with their bankers. Once...

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WORLD’S BOND MARKET SUFFERS WORST MONTH SINCE MARCH

Investors jumped out of bonds last week after the Bank of England and U.S. Federal Reserve signaled a willingness to hike short-term borrowing costs to combat inflation, the Financial Times reported. Bond prices fell at the fastest rate in seven months. Also, soaring energy costs across Europe and the U.K. are leading investors to believe...

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ECONOMISTS: HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN

After lowering their growth forecasts for this year’s third and fourth quarters, many economists see a brighter 2022 ahead, The Wall Street Journal found, with analysts expecting production and spending delayed by this year’s Delta virus and supply chain tangles to appear next year instead. There are early signals that things are looking up, analysts...

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U.S. MARKET OVERVIEW

Stock prices slid on Tuesday, 28 September, bumped through Wednesday, and fell again on Thursday, September’s last day, while the best bond yields in months also lured investors away from tech stocks. Alphabet, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, all of which have outperformed the broader market this year, each dropped at least 3.5 percent during the...

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RISKY LOAN BACKERS BEWARE

The next default crisis is taking root in the junk-bond and leveraged-loan markets, according to analysts at the S&P Global credit ratings service. As risk rises, interest rates typically do also to compensate investors for the greater chance of losing their money, the analysts note, but “just the opposite is now true,” they wrote in...

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BACKLOGGED SHIPS: NEW ABNORMAL

As of 19 September, the number of ships anchored off the ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles waiting to load or unload cargo totaled 73, up from the 44 on 28 August that we reported in “Ships Clog = Inflation” (14 Sep 2021), according to the Marine Exchange of Southern California. Before the COVID...

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