As analysts read the economic entrails of last week’s market slide, one stock index shows a clear warning of a recession, economists told The Wall Street Journal.
Category: TRENDS ON THE U.S. ECONOMIC FRONT – Mar 18 2025
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MAJOR U.S. AIRLINES FORECAST TRAVEL SLUMP
American, Delta, and United Airlines all see demand slowing for travel in the months ahead.
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CONFIDENCE AMONG SMALL BUSINESSES DROPS FOR THIRD STRAIGHT MONTH
In February, confidence in the present and future U.S. economy fell for the third consecutive month among small business owners responding to a survey by the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB).
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INFLATION AND HIGH GOVERNMENT DEBT ARE LINKED, STUDY FINDS
When a government borrows to fund its programs, that puts pressure on consumer prices, according to research by Ernie Tedeschi, director of economics at Yale University’s Budget Lab and former chief economist for President Joe Biden’s White House Council of Economic Advisers.
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U.S. INFLATION SLOWS AS TARIFFS THREATEN TO REIGNITE IT
Inflation’s annual U.S. rate registered 2.8 percent in February, compared to 3 percent the month before, the Labor Department reported.
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U.S. BUDGET DEFICIT SURGES PAST $1 TRILLION TO SET YEAR-TO-DATE RECORD
In February, the U.S. budget deficit surpassed $1 trillion. February was only the fifth month of the federal government’s fiscal year, which begins 1 October.
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SPECIAL REPORT: THE U.S. CONSUMER IS TAPPED OUT AND WORN OUT
Rich and poor alike, U.S. consumers are spending less on both wants and needs, the Financial Times reported.
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ECONOMIC UPDATE—MARKET OVERVIEW
This week’s Trends Journal cover speaks tens of thousands of words. Today, gold racked up a new high, hitting nearly $3,040 per ounce. As we go to press it’s at $3,034 per ounce... up nearly $1,000 per ounce since we forecast that a Top Trend of 2024 would be a Golden Year for Gold.
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TOP TREND 2024: A GOLDEN YEAR FOR GOLD
The U.S. spot gold price briefly topped $3,000 on 10 March, passing the milestone for the first time. The metal’s futures price in European evening trading surpassed the same milestone later on the same day.
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