The NASDAQ and Standard & Poor’s 500 index both closed last week at new record levels after also setting new intraday highs, with share prices rising on strong earnings, especially by tech companies, that reassured investors that the businesses could manage their massive AI expenses.
Category: TRENDS ON THE U.S. ECONOMIC FRONT – May 12 2026
SPECIAL REPORT: THE U.S. IS NOW AN AI ECONOMY
The U.S. economy grew by 2 percent in this year’s first quarter, missing economists’ expectations of a 2.2-percent bump in a Wall Street Journal survey.
TOP TREND 2026: DOT-COM BUST 2.0
As we had forecast, one of our Top Trends for 2026 is Dot-Com Bust 2.0, and now that reality is finally hitting The Street. Indeed, as we go to press, this is a top headline article in CNBC: Bulls and bears both believe this could be 1999 all over again.
MORTGAGE RATES ARE CREEPING HIGHER AGAIN
The U.S. average national interest rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage reached 6.37 percent during the week ending 8 May, rising from 6.30 percent the week before, according to the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp.
U.S. HOME SALES FLAT IN APRIL
In April, sales of existing U.S. homes essentially did not grow above March’s total, ticking up just 0.2 percent at the beginning of what is usually the real estate’s prime selling season, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported. April’s sales also were flat compared to sales in April 2025.
U.S. HOUSEHOLD DEBT REACHES A RECORD $18.8 TRILLION
Car loans, credit card accounts, mortgages, student loans, and other debt held by U.S. individuals climbed to a record $18.8 trillion in last year’s final quarter of 2025, an increase of $4.6 trillion from 31 December 2019, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit.
U.S. ECONOMY ADDS A MODEST 115,000 JOBS IN APRIL, BUT…
U.S. nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 workers in April, more than twice the 55,000-consensus forecast by economists in a Dow Jones survey.
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT SINKS TO ANOTHER RECORD LOW
After touching a record low in April, the University of Michigan’s monthly survey of consumer sentiment fell even lower in the May preliminary poll, sinking to a reading of 48.2.








