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U.S. STOCK MARKET STILL UPBEAT

Yes, the markets are riding high again. Investors see the prospect of a U.S.-China trade deal and relatively strong earnings reports from major companies, as good omens that stock prices will continue to rise. Also, the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 that are trading above their 200-day moving average – a key indicator...

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FED MAY CAP BOND YIELDS

When the U.S. economy enters a recession, the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates to spark a recovery. Over the last three downturns, the Fed has pruned rates by about 5 percent to juice recession-prone economies. With overnight rates now 1.50 to 1.75 percent, the rate-cutting tool’s impact to generate growth when the economy begins to...

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FED WITHDRAWAL WORRIES MARKETS

The Federal Reserve has opened more than $6.6 trillion in short-term loans to the repo market since September 2019 to keep interest rates low and the markets open. And although they refuse to call a spade a spade, the Fed also has been buying short-term Treasury bonds at a rate of $60 billion a month,...

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TWO PERCENT: THE NEW NORMAL

The Federal Reserve expects the U.S. economy to grow in the 2-percent range for years into the future and many economists agree. The labor force is shrinking as Baby Boomers age, curtailing the number of people available to fill jobs; older people living on savings or fixed incomes also tend to buy less. In addition,...

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U.S. ECONOMY SLOWS, MARKETS GLOW

The U.S. economy slowed in 2019 after two consecutive years of growth, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. In 2018, the economy expanded by 2.9 percent; in 2019 overall, the rate is calculated at 2.3 percent. For the last half of 2019, the rate was 2.1 percent. Household purchases were responsible for 1.2 percent...

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