Human Waves 2019

Across the continents, millions of desperate people are fleeing their homelands, risking their lives and those of their loved ones in hopes of finding a promising future.

While it is headline news today, particularly in the United States with the human caravan leaving Central America and President Trump’s vow to not let them enter the United States, the Human Wave trend has been long in the making and one that the Trends Research Institute and Gerald Celente have been tracking and forecasting for over two decades.

Yet, whether in the U.S. or the millions of migrants and refugees escaping the Middle East and Africa flooding into Europe, the manner in which this trend is being reported by the media often omits the causes of the Great Migration.

For example, while they note the abject poverty, corruption and high crime rates, both the press and politicians ignore the Coup d’état regime changes and covert American influence in Central America that has destabilized many countries in the region.

Also, virtually absent in media coverage are the American-led wars against Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya, etc., which have destroyed nations, killed millions and displaced tens of millions.

And as with Libya, a war launched by Nobel Peace prize winner U.S. President Barack Obama, along with Prime Minister David Cameron of the U.K. and President Nicolas Sarkozy of France, long forgotten are both the warning and the consequences of their violent acts of mass destruction that sunk Libya into chaos and a launch pad for migration:

“Now listen, you people of NATO,” wrote Muammar Gadhafi a few months before he was killed in 2011. “You’re bombing a wall which stood in the way of African migration to Europe, and in the way of Al-Qaeda terrorists. This wall was Libya. You’re breaking it. You’re idiots, and you will burn in Hell for thousands of migrants from Africa and for supporting Al-Qaeda. It will be so. I never lie. And I do not lie now.”

Subsequently, as reported in our Spring, 2011 Trends Journal, the “idiots” paid the consequences:

“In March 2011, the first wave of the human tsunami washed ashore. Tens of thousands of desperate refugees fleeing North Africa and the Middle East made landfall in the nearest Italian port. By mid-April, the UN reported that more than a half-million people had fled Libya in the preceding two months, and as Qaddafi warned, it worsened. “


And the three-year-old civil war against Houthi rebels in Yemen, being carried out by Saudi Arabia, and its coalition of the killing, including the U. S., the United Arab Emirates, the U.K., Canada, France and other nations, has resulted in the deaths of as many as 56,000 innocent civilians from direct bombings and more than 80,000 from famine resulting from the war.

As millions seek refuge away from the killing, disease and starvation in Yemen, the United Nations declared it the world’s worst humanitarian crisis. Starving children, families suffering cholera and other diseases spreading by the day throughout the region … Yemen is a destroyed nation with a massive homeless population seeking shelter and safety.

In 2019, as millions of refugees continue to flee war-torn, violent, politically- and economically-oppressed countries seeking safety, they will be greeted by “Not Welcome Here” signs by the countries they wish to enter.


Throughout Central America, hundreds of thousands of migrants are fleeing their economically depressed countries that are ruled and ruined by corrupt, dysfunctional governments, to seek safety and job opportunities.

In Venezuela, once one of the most prosperous nations of Latin America, but now suffering deep economic depression, violence and social degradation, has some 3,000 citizens fleeing the country every day. And the U. N. estimates 2 million Venezuelans will emigrate in 2019.

Overall, across the globe, according to the International Rescue Committee there are over 20 million refugees, with the majority fleeing the Middle East, Africa and South America.


Among the socioeconomic dynamics driving the Human Wave crisis is the Five-O Formula identified by global trend forecaster Gerald Celente 20 years ago.

In forecasting the macro trends that will shape the 21st century economy, he cited a new set of equations defined by market forces that did not exist in the 20th. Celente defined those factors as:

Overproduction — there are more products and services than can be consumed.

Overcapacity — there is a glut of advanced facilities and excess service capabilities to supply the world market place with more than can be consumed.

Open Markets — a borderless new millennial marketplace provides products and services free from traditional economic channels.

Overpopulation — companies are now positioned to exploit a 6-billion-plus labor pool without geographic constraints.

Online — a planet full of browsers will enable and drive a universal economic culture of cheap product and service production supported by cheap labor expenses.


At the start of the last century, the world’s population was 1.6 billion. Today, the world’s population is 7.6 billion. And in the two decades since Celente made his Five-O forecast, another 1.6 billion people were added to the planet … and ultimately the workforce.

Across the globe, beyond the wars, violence and corruption, even in the most civilized countries, the story is the same: More workers in the labor forces than jobs available. This is one of the major factors driving the massive migrant trend: People fleeing their countries looking for work. And, as populations continue to increase, there will be a greater supply of workers than the demand for jobs, thus adding further downward pressure on wages.

In the new world of high-tech innovations such as robotics, Artificial Intelligence, online retail and services, etc., from top to bottom, jobs will be replaced and the pay scale will continue to be lowered. TJ


As economies decline and personal incomes drop, such as in France, which is experiencing its most volatile social uprising since the 1960s, anti-immigration/anti-establishment movements will escalate as populist parties defeat entrenched political parties.

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