As we have detailed, as trend forecasters it’s not what you like, don’t like, want, don’t want, it’s what is.
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SPOTLIGHT: THE OIL CRISIS CONTINUES
Two oil tankers were attacked and set on fire in the Persian Gulf late last week, making real the fears that Iran would use military force to shut down oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.
SPOTLIGHT: PRIVATE CREDIT’S VERY BAD WEEK
The private credit market is approaching a sharp correction, in part because many private lenders such as Blue Owl have “misrepresented” the amount of losses they have incurred, which are “larger than reported,” according to an analysis by Glendon Capital Management, a $5-billion fund that invests in distressed debt.
IRAN’S NEW LEADER VOWS TO KEEP FIGHTING AGAINST ISRAEL, U.S.
Mojtaba Khamenei, the new supreme leader of Iran, said in his first public statement last week that he will continue to strike U.S. bases in the region and keep the Strait of Hormuz essentially closed, indicating that Tehran has little interest in seeking an off-ramp as the war entered its second week.
TRUMP’S ADMINISTRATION REPEATS CLAIM THAT WAR WITH IRAN WILL END QUICKLY
The Trump administration continues to tell the American public that its illegal war of aggression against Iran will end relatively quickly, and any economic pain being felt will only be temporary.
UNHINGED TRUMP CALLS IT HIS ‘GREAT HONOR’ TO KILL ‘DERANGED SCUMBAG’ IRANIANS
President Donald Trump took to social media last week to threaten Iranians in a late-night post after it was revealed that another six American service members died when their KC-135 Stratotanker crashed in western Iraq.
ECONOMIC UPDATE
The equity markets are up, the equity markets are down. Oil prices are up, oil prices are down. Gold and silver prices are up, gold and silver prices are down.
SPECIAL REPORT: THE PRIVATE CREDIT ROUT CONTINUES
Individual investors in private credit funds are fleeing in droves as the industry confronts fears about its long-term outlook.
SPECIAL REPORT: THE IRAN WAR DAMAGES THE WORLD ECONOMY
The price of Brent crude oil, the world’s pricing benchmark, spiked briefly above $119 on 9 March and could go even higher this week, many analysts expect, as the Iran war has effectively shut down the vital Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20 percent of the world’s oil passes.
ISRAEL TARGETS LEBANON AS IRAN WAR THREATENS TO BECOME AN ALL-OUT REGIONAL WAR
The Israeli military expanded the war against Iran by carrying out strikes against Lebanon, as the war shows no end in sight, with a high risk of further escalation.









