The Forecast: Despite public rhetoric, bankism will grow in 2015 because the financial system is unstable and quantitative easing is not over. For solvency and reputational reasons, both central and private banks need, and will collaborate on, low rates for liquidity and to inflate asset prices. This will keep bond and stock prices propped up...
Category: Uncategorized
Trendpost
While the Institute does not give financial advice, for those so inclined cash remains the one financial possession that Main Street should be holding — outside of the banking system — to maintain individual financial security. Indeed, the second half of the year in bankism is that private banks are going to be gunning for...
Price Wars
The Forecast: The formula is a simple one: Too much product is flooding the global marketplace, and there’s a chronic shortage of people with enough money to buy those products. Price wars will mark a new age of retail marketing. Who will be the winners and losers? And even as commodity prices decline in many...
Trendpost
Absent a war and/or wild-card event, as long as the global economy remains tepid, price wars on both raw material and finished goods will continue. In nations where economics stagnate or weaken, central banks will continue to use deflation as an excuse to keep interest rates low.
Grand Manipulation
The Forecast: What we are experiencing is not a repeat of the past. The ability or, rather, audacity of the US government to manipulate the major financial markets is new. Can this trend continue? Governments and economists take their hats off to free markets. Yet, the markets are rigged, not free. How long can stocks...
Trendpost
We are frequently asked: When will the global market bubble — pumped up with tens of trillions in quantitative easing, low-interest-rate policy and overtly manipulated by governments and central banks — finally burst? There is no firm timetable. In this era of the Grand Manipulation, in which there is no correlation among sound investment principles, free...
Selfie Journalism
The Forecast: In the year ahead, the era of selfie journalism fully takes root. As print-driven journalism fades, robust coverage of communities, and the issues that drive life in those areas, suffers. General news coverage provided by dominant media outlets fades. And that encourages upstart media outlets to fill the coverage gaps — and local...
Trendpost
» Some chains, especially those like New Media Investment Group with the cash to buy, will show healthy returns in the next few years — as long as they can acquire “fat” properties and consolidate/absorb operations into their corporate machinery to slash spending. But the failure to produce genuine news-driven strategies will be their eventual...
Dominant Energy
The Forecast: US shale oil and gas production will continue to lead the petroleum industry, but engineers and investors will closely watch delivery rates and decline curves. Elsewhere, new processes will add value to coal, but won’t solve its essential problem: It’s inherently dirty. The nuclear-power industry will reintroduce itself across the world through safer,...
Trendpost
Despite an economic downturn, US petroleum produers that have long-term gas-supply contracts with gas-burning public utilities or gas-export ventures will gain market share. Oil and gas producers that entered the shale play late or with limited drill sites will close down or be bought by more nimble operators with strong balance sheets and a catalog...