In an internal report prepared for the Russian government and obtained by Bloomberg, analysts warn that the impact of the Ukraine war and Western sanctions will spread through the economy, leading to a longer, deeper recession than there is already and gradually hobbling sectors that now underpin the nation’s economy. The report presents three scenarios....
Category: TRENDS ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC FRONT
BRITISH POUND SLUMPS TO 40-YEAR LOW AGAINST THE DOLLAR
The pound sterling sank to its lowest value against the dollar since 1985 as markets brace for a borrowing spree by new prime minister Liz Truss to fund a rescue plan for homes and businesses crushed by soaring energy costs. The pound fell as low as $1.14 to the buck on 7 September, but has...
ECB FEARS DAMAGE FROM WEAK EURO
The European Central Bank (ECB) decided to raise its key interest rate last week to 0.75 percent because, in part, the bank’s governing council feared the weak euro would drive inflation even higher, minutes from the group’s last meeting showed. The euro was worth $1.20 in early 2021. Earlier this year, it slid to parity...
ECB BOOSTS RATE BY THREE-QUARTERS OF A POINT
On 8 September, the 25 members of the European Central Bank (ECB’s) governing council voted unanimously to raise the bank’s key interest rate by three-quarters of a point, even though many analysts have warned that suddenly higher rates will push the region’s economy into recession. The last time the bank jacked its rate by that...
OPEC+ TRIMS PRODUCTION IN WARNING TO WEST
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allied nations (OPEC+) have agreed to pare oil production by 100,000 barrels a day, beginning next month. While the cut is largely symbolic, it underscores the group’s concern over softening oil demand amid a global economic slowdown and highlights last month’s comment by Abdulaziz bin Salman, Saudi...
TREND: LESS FOOD, HIGHER PRICES
Europe’s farmers and food producers are warning that basic commodities, including many common fruits and vegetables, will be in short supply and prices could soar this winter as they press governments for help to cope with record high energy prices The European Union’s (EU’s) farmers union and two major food producers already have begun to...
WHEN THE ECONOMY FALLS, JOBS GO WITH IT
Dragflation: Economic growth declining and inflation rising… plus the pressure of interest rate hikes that are drying up the cheap money pool are causing companies in many sectors to lay off employees. To illustrate the employment trends and the socioeconomic implications, each week we will list job losses. Crypto companies laid off nearly 5,000 employees...
SPOTLIGHT: BIGS GETTING BIGGER
Each week, we report instances where the money junky hedge funds, private equity groups and the already big companies swallow another piece of the global economy. Here are some more of what the BIGS have been gobbling up and how the Bigs keep getting bigger and the rich keep getting richer. It should be noted...
SPOTLIGHT: INFLATION
EUROZONE INFLATION RISES TO 8.9 PERCENT IN JULY Inflation across the 19 countries sharing the euro currency sped up to 8.9 percent in July from 8.6 percent the month before, according to Eurostat, the European Union’s statistics agency. In July 2021, the rate was 2.2 percent. Energy prices rose 4.02 percentage points. Food, alcohol, and...
TOP 2022 TREND, SELF-SUFFICIENT ECONOMIES: CHINA PROMOTES VOCATIONAL EDUCATION
Vocational education is key to China’s employment and entrepreneurship and to speeding economic and social development, president Xi Jinping wrote in a letter last week to the World Vocational and Technical Education Development Conference. The conference, the first of its kind, was held in the Chinese city of Tianjin, where manufacturing accounts for about half...