Goldman Sachs has cut its 2021 forecast for U.S. economic growth from 5.7 percent to 5.6 and trimmed its 2022 outlook from a 4.4-percent GDP expansion to a flat 4 percent. The economy will suffer as the U.S. Federal Reserve gradually ends its $120-billion monthly bond-buying program, in place since March 2020, with the ongoing...
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NEW JOBLESS CLAIMS FALL BELOW 300,000
New claims for unemployment benefits fell for the second consecutive week, this time to 293,000, the first time they have slid below 300,000 since March 2020 and approaching the 225,000 weekly average that prevailed before the COVID virus took hold. The new number beat the 319,000 average predicted by economists Bloomberg had surveyed. Continuing claims...
NATURAL GAS SHORTAGE SQUEEZING TIGHT OIL MARKET, IEA WARNS
The widespread shortage of natural gas across Europe and parts of Asia is forcing factories, cities, and utilities to switch to oil, which could soon add 500,000 barrels a day in new demand to a commodity already in short supply around the world, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has reported. That would create a deficit...
TURKEY: INTEREST RATES DOWN, LIRA CRASHING. WAR NEXT?
Recep Erdogan, Turkey’s president, abruptly fired two central bank deputy governors and one policy committee member who were leery of cutting interest rates yet again as the country struggles with runaway inflation. Erdogan has serially fired top bank officials over the past 12 months, most notably bank governor Naci Agbal, who was shown the door...
GERMANY’S 2021 GROWTH FORECAST SLASHED
Five highly-regarded German research institutes have cut the country’s 2021 growth outlook by more than a third, from 3.7 percent to 2.4, citing shortages of raw materials in manufacturing and the COVID virus’s impact on consumer spending. The economic resurgence earlier this year was not as strong or enduring as expected “and that was because...
IMF CUTS ECONOMIC FORECASTS
In its 12 October World Economic Outlook report, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lopped a full percentage point off its forecast for U.S. economic growth this year, reducing it to 6.0 percent in the biggest single downgrade of any G7 country. The cut was prompted by soft third-quarter consumer spending, due in part to a...
GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN MESS TO GET WORSE, MOODY’S WARNS
The tangled global supply chain is going to become even more knotted before it improves, Moody’s warned on 11 October. “As the global economic recovery continues to gather steam, what is increasingly apparent is how it will be stymied by supply-chain disruptions that are now showing up at every corner,” the analytics firm said. “Border...
BUMPS IN CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD IN AFRICA
Countries in Africa have accepted Chinese investment and infrastructure projects to the tune of 120 billion dollars. A lot of that is in the form of debt which is weighing down nations like Tanzania, Zambia and others. With the Chinese virus has come a worldwide economic cataclysm that is doing nothing to alleviate debt servicing...
BOLD SUPPLY CHAIN SOLUTIONS FROM BIDEN?
The MSM and the Biden administration are apparently mystified that the prolonged lockdowns of 2020, urban riots and COVID dictates led an aging generation of truckers to hang up their keys. They also appear unable to connect the dots of how lockdowns, trillions in handouts, and odious restrictions haven’t exactly galvanized potential younger replacements to...
FORMER OBAMA SEC OF DEFENSE SCOLDS BIDEN ON CHINA
Robert Gates said in a recent interview that Joe Biden hasn’t formulated an effective response to an emboldened China. Gates, who served as Secretary of Defense from 2006 to 2011, during parts of the Bush and Obama presidencies, criticized Biden’s chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal in a CBS 60 Minutes interview. But comments he made concerning Biden’s...
