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SPOTLIGHT: INFLATION

MAY INFLATION SETS ANOTHER 40-YEAR RECORD  The U.S. annual inflation rate in May edged up to 8.6 percent from 8.5 in April, squelching some analysts’ predictions that inflation had peaked. The pace of rising prices was the greatest since December 1981. Grocery prices climbed 11.9 percent year over year last month, their largest annual gain...

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TURKEY ADOPTS NEW MEASURE TO RESCUE THE LIRA

The Turkish government has announced a new “revenue-indexed” savings bond in an attempt to salvage the value of the lira, its failing national currency. (See “Turkey’s Economy Weakens Further Under Erdogan’s Policy” in this issue.) Officials have given few details about the new bond, other than to say that it will offer a guaranteed minimum...

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TOP TREND 2022 DRAGFLATION: BRITISH POUND WILL FALL IN VALUE, MARKETS EXPECT

Investors are placing short bets against Britain’s pound sterling currency amid rampant inflation and slowing economic growth, the Financial Times reported. The number of futures contracts wagering on a less-valuable pound is at its highest in three years, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. So far this year, the pound is down 7 percent...

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WEAK ECONOMY WILL HOBBLE ECB’S RATE-HIKE PLAN

Faced with decades-high inflation, the European Central Bank (ECB) has indicated it will raise its key interest rate from the -0.50 percent, where it has remained for eight years to a positive 0.25 percent this September. However, investors have overestimated the bank’s ability to raise rates aggressively enough to pull inflation back to its 2-percent...

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ECB ANNOUNCES RATE-HIKE PLAN

Attempting to counter complaints that the European Central Bank (ECB) is doing nothing to address inflation, bank president Christine Lagarde last week said the bank is likely to raise its key rate a quarter-point next month and another half-point in September. The decision to announce the raises now was unanimous among the bank’s governing council,...

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