Again, we have been reporting about the enormous budget deficits that would continue to grow as politicians close down businesses and people flee big cities. As reported by the New York Post last week, more than 295,000 New York City residents have moved out of town since February, according to data from the U.S. Postal...
Category: TRENDS ON THE U.S. ECONOMIC FRONT
CALIFORNIA “DECIMATING SMALL BUSINESSES,” SAYS DISNEY CEO
Deeming California governor Gavin Newsom’s shutdown rules “arbitrary,” Disney CEO Robert Chapek called on the state to allow Disneyland to reopen. The company has reopened theme parks in Hong Kong, Orlando, Shanghai, and Tokyo following health and safety protocols that “are all science-based and have the support of labor unions representing 99 percent of our...
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE VALUES PLUNGE
It comes as no surprise to Trend Journal subscribers. Since the COVID War broke out in February, we have been forecasting that hotels, shopping malls, and urban storefronts would be hard hit by draconian lockdown rules and the media’s 24/7 selling COVID Fear & Hysteria. Now, those sectors are losing market value by double digits....
NY HOTEL CRISIS THREATENS $4 BILLION IN MORTGAGE SECURITIES
New York City’s hotel crisis – with occupancy rates languishing at 20 percent below last year and a growing number of inns closing permanently – is making investors nervous about the $4 billion in hotel mortgages that have been packaged into securities backed by commercial mortgages. More than four out of five hotels included in...
PRIVATE EQUITY GROWING IN INFLUENCE
Private equity firms ended 2019 with a record $2.5 trillion in cash on hand, according to Bain Capital, and have even more now, Manoj Mahenthiran, private equity chief at accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers, told Bloomberg. The pandemic and economic shutdown gave them a windfall. As the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks drove interest rates...
DEMAND RISES FOR EXPENSIVE HOMES
The demand for homes costing $500,000 or more is rising as white-collar workers bring their offices home and well-off families are buying more space to shelter in place. Almost 25 percent of home buyers from April through June paid $500,000 or more for their new homes, compared with 14 percent during the preceding nine months....
WILL BIDEN PLAY TOUGH CHINA CARD?
Should President Trump lose his legal actions and lose the White House, Joe Biden contends he will continue the Trump administration’s efforts to limit China’s rise as a dominant force in global trade. The U.S. will work with allies to pressure China on trade issues and to limit the influence of Chinese technology, such as...
U.S. BUDGET DEFICIT DOUBLES IN OCTOBER
The U.S. spent $284 billion more than it took in during the first month of its new fiscal year, a budget hole 111 percent bigger than a year earlier, government data shows. Spending climbed 37 percent to $522 billion for the month as spending rose in health care and for bailout and safety-net programs related...
POWELL: “DIFFERENT” ECONOMY WILL EMERGE FROM PANDEMIC
The post-pandemic economy will not resemble the one we knew before the COVID virus struck, Jerome Powell, Chair of Federal Reserve, said on 11 November at the European Central Bank’s Forum on Central Banking 2020. The recovery will bring a “different economy” more dependent on technology and automation, in part because more office workers will...
GLOBAL ECONOMIC TRENDS
MORE THAN HALF OF EUROPE’S SMALL BUSINESSES EXPECT TO FAIL. One in ten of Europe’s small and medium-size businesses expect to file bankruptcy by next spring; and 55 percent believe they will fail before next fall if revenues remain at current levels, according to a survey of 2,200 businesses in France, Germany, Italy, Spain and...