More banks need bailouts. China’s lax banking regulations have led to decades of bad loans, corruption, and mismanagement. Now, according to UBS Research, more than 24 of the nation’s banks need $339 billion in rescue funding to have 12.5 percent of their at-risk portfolio balanced by cash – the global standard for safe practice. Although...
Category: TRENDS ON THE U.S. ECONOMIC FRONT
MONETARY METHADONE: REPO RESCUE TOPS $6 TRILLION
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York has pumped $6.6 trillion into major financial trading houses in the last five months through the repo market (repurchase agreement) market, according to data posted on the bank’s website. The first week of the current repo rescue was last 17 through 24 September, when the repo interest rate...
JUNK DEBT DUE SETS RECORD
Almost $1.2 trillion in speculative-rated corporate bonds – also known as “junk debt” – will come due over the next five years. This sets a record for the amount of risky loans to mature over such a short period, up 14 percent since last year. Looking at growing signs of an economic slowdown ahead, Moody’s...
TRUMP: IN LA-LA LAND
Addressing the World Economic Forum at Davos last Monday, President Donald Trump told the gathering that the U.S. is “in the midst of an economic boom, the likes of which the world has never seen.” He branded the economy “the great American comeback” and “a stunning turnaround” powered by “a whole new approach centered entirely on...
FED: CYBER ATTACK COULD DEVASTATE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Concerns about U.S. vulnerability to cyber attacks is rising since the assassination of Iran’s general Qasem Soleimani and with good reason: according to a research paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a cyber attack on the nation’s five biggest banks could send the U.S. economy into turmoil. An attack that crippled banks’...
CHILE: ECONOMY IN TURMOIL
Since October, Chile has been rocked by public protests against conditions ranging from economic inequality and rising prices to plans to privatize pensions and public education. Economic policies begun in the 1990s created wealth but also drew millions of people into debt, with most of the new wealth flowing to richest 1 percent of the...
ARGENTINA: INFLATION SKYROCKETS, ECONOMY TAILSPINS
Argentina’s inflation rate ended 2019 at 53.8 percent, down from a peak of 84 percent during the year. It’s among the five countries with the world’s worst inflation pace. This month, bank deposits have been off their usual pace by about $40 million a day, compared to rising deposit rates in December. Worsening the tailspin...
INTEREST RATE CUTS TO JUICE ECONOMIES
Turkey Inflation crept up above 11 percent in December, but Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has forced the country’s central bank to cut its benchmark one-week repo rate from 12 to 11.25 percent. Analysts had expected a cut no more than half a point. This is the fifth consecutive cut since July 2019. Because the...
CHINA: TAKING ADVANTAGE
China has renewed construction projects under its Belt and Road Initiative, which is building ports, rail lines, and other infrastructure to connect its trading partners more firmly and easily to the Asian giant. During the first 11 months of 2019, China signed contracts worth $128 billion as part of the plan. Most of the money...
GERMANY: ECONOMY HITS THE BRAKES
Germany’s GDP grew by a feeble 0.6 percent in 2019, its lowest rate since 2013. Global trade battles weakened exports, as did a general downturn in the world auto market. Domestic car sales slowed to recession rates, having a ripple effect throughout the industry’s national supply chain. What growth there was is being attributed to...