Tag: Aug2018

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How vulnerable are equity markets?

Very. As trend forecasters, we stay focused on facts. We track the current events that form future trends and make our forecasts based on qualitative data, and not the static that drives business news cycles. How will markets perform? It’s not about trade wars and tariff threats. It’s not about porn stars or playboy models...

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Has gold hit bottom? Here’s the trend.

It’s no mystery. Gold, which has lost nearly 14 percent of its value since mid-April, has been declining sharply as U.S interest rise and the U.S. dollar strengthens. Also, the Federal Reserve has signaled two more interest rate hikes this year and possibly three next year. Thus, higher rates will push up bond yields, making...

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Debt striking close to home

U.S. household debt is at an all-time high. Showing steady declines between 2008 and 2013, consumer debt hit an astounding $13.2 trillion at the end of the first quarter 2018. And household debt is rising at a rate 60 percent higher than the increase in wages. Moreover, personal loans are the fastest growing consumer debt...

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Three trends that can change it all

Beyond the hyped-up business media headlines on what drives markets and economies on any given day, when the noise clears, there are three trend indicators that are among the major determinants of economic performance: Interest rates, the U.S. dollar and oil. Interest Rates. It was record low interest rates that juiced global equity markets since...

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State of middle class: Standing still

Twenty years ago, the Five-O model predicted that the middle class would devolve. At the crux of Celente’s forecast was the wage and purchasing power trend line that would emerge early in the 21st century as the global economy adapted to the Five-Os. As evidenced by a series of economic reports, from unemployment rates to...

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WORLD ECONOMIES ON EDGE

Each time the Gross Domestic Product numbers are reported in a country near you, economists are “puzzled” why the GDP keeps rising but wages keep falling. It’s no surprise. It’s a decades old “Five-O” formula trend that conventional economists fail to understand and Banksters and multi-nationals benefit from. To understand the emerging trends in today’s...

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Crash? Recovery?

Jonathan Cho CONTRIBUTING WRITER Blockchain. Distributed ledger. Crypto. These have become the new sexy words for the past year. They promise outsized gains so long as you’re willing to HODL, which either means “hold on for dear life” or was a typo in a crypto online forum turned into an industry-wide meme — a joke...

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Links in the chain grow

It began as a permanent, reputedly hack-proof bookkeeping system to record Bitcoin transactions. But it quickly was seized upon by lawyers as a way to guarantee the authenticity of contract signatures; by medical care providers to ensure the integrity of electronic medical records; and by jewelers to prove that a particular diamond didn’t come from...

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The Trump wild card

The American media, transfixed on Russian meddling and a varied assortment of junk news, rarely mentions the longest war in U.S. history: its illegal invasion of Afghanistan. Gerald Celente now forecasts the war will begin to wind down before the November U.S. midterm elections. Beginning in late July, Celente, on various media and in his...

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Hate war? Love peace? Occupy Peace!

A vital element of trends forecasting is objectively analyzing hard data and substantiated facts. Here’s some hard data and substantiated facts: 1. The United States military has not won a war since World War II. Korean War, Vietnam War, Afghan War, Iraq War, Libyan War, Syrian War, Yemen War, plus, plus … tens of trillions...

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