Tag: 21 January 2020

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CHINA: TAKING ADVANTAGE

China has renewed construction projects under its Belt and Road Initiative, which is building ports, rail lines, and other infrastructure to connect its trading partners more firmly and easily to the Asian giant. During the first 11 months of 2019, China signed contracts worth $128 billion as part of the plan. Most of the money...

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GERMANY: ECONOMY HITS THE BRAKES

Germany’s GDP grew by a feeble 0.6 percent in 2019, its lowest rate since 2013. Global trade battles weakened exports, as did a general downturn in the world auto market. Domestic car sales slowed to recession rates, having a ripple effect throughout the industry’s national supply chain. What growth there was is being attributed to...

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VENEZUELA: GUAIDÓ DOWN, POMPEO PUMPS HIM UP

As reported in last week’s Trends Journal, Juan Guaidó, who had declared himself president of Venezuela last January with the support of the U.S. and some 50 other countries, has lost much of his popular support. In a rally following a disputed vote for his re-nomination as leader of the Congress, only a few hundred...

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CENTRAL BANKS LOSE THEIR GRIP

After decades of wielding power over national economies, nations’ central banks have spent much of their power. Their power comes through their ability to adjust interest rates to nudge growth or restrain inflation. Now many of these national banks have lowered interest rates to or near zero, or in some cases negative numbers, to boost...

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IMF FOLLOWS CELENTE: GREAT DEPRESSION 2.0

The world is drifting toward another Great Depression, says Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund. She points to IMF research that finds parallels between current economic conditions, including economic inequality and financial markets’ instability, and those of the 1920s that culminated in the stock market collapse and a 10-year global depression that...

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WORLD ECONOMY: FLIRTING WITH DANGER

Record Bond Issues Heighten Fears of Debt Collapse In 2019, corporations globally took advantage of low interest rates and issued $2.5 trillion in bonds during the year, nudging past 2017’s record number. According to the World Bank, while central banks are eager to keep rates low to stave off a recession, their cheap money policies...

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GOLD: $2,000 IN SIGHT?

According to an executive at Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, gold could soar above $2,000 an ounce in the not-too-distant future. Greg Jensen, the firm’s co-chief investment officer, cites a range of factors: geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially between the U.S. and Iran; the U.S.-China trade war; the prospect of inflation...

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RICH INVESTORS MORE BULLISH THAN EVER

With U.S. stocks hitting six new-record highs in 2020’s first 12 trading days, investors holding $1 million or more in stocks are more confident in the market than a month ago. In 2019’s fourth quarter, many investors feared a market drop or recession; now a survey by E-Trade Financial found that 76 percent of these...

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DOLLAR POISED TO WEAKEN?

Many banks expect the dollar to weaken against other currencies this year. A weaker dollar would make U.S. goods cheaper in other countries, boost commodity prices at home, and buoy the stock price of mining, oil, and other companies that produce commodities. The weakness would stem from the Fed’s continuing low interest rates, which make...

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