They all lost. In elections worldwide, culminating with undisputed reality-show champion Donald Trump’s victory in America’s Presidential Reality Show®, the old guard was defeated. From Brexit to Trump, to populist movements sweeping across Europe, the worldwide hunger to “Make It New” scored resounding victories. But these victories were not just reflections of the populace’s disdain for a neo-feudal class of...
TOP TRENDS OF 2017
For nearly 40 years, forecaster Gerald Celente and his Trends Research Institute have established and sustained a remarkable track record accurately forecasting powerful, game-changing trends in economics, geopolitics, health, education, technology, aging, pop culture and more. The driving force behind these successes has been the institute’s Globalnomic® methodology, developed by Celente, to identify, track, forecast and analyze trends. This technique,...
Election results are bigger than Trump
Two months before Donald Trump announced his candidacy, in the lead paragraph of our “Campaign 2016” coverage in the Spring 2015 Trends Journal, we wrote: “Billions will be spent on lies, deceptions, hollow slogans… it’s The Greatest Show on Earth: The Presidential Reality Show.® In 18 months, Americans will go to the polls to cast ballots for a lesser of two...
Trend Forecast
Over the next two years, President Trump, a political outsider not beholden to party officials, will have free reign to build his administration and implement policies with minimal resistance. And, as with most politicians, Commander-in-Chief Trump will moderate the most radical platform positions he expressed on the campaign trail. It remains to be seen if President Trump will backtrack on...
Trend Forecast
United we stand, divided we fall. Less than two weeks after Donald Trump was elected, a Gallup Poll reported a record-high 77 percent of Americans perceive the nation divided while just 21 percent believe it is united and in agreement. While data are still being calculated as we go to press, with both candidates’ high negativity ratings and the population’s disgust amid...
President Trump economy vs. global economy: Winners and losers
Just as the mainstream media and major pollsters got it wrong forecasting Hillary Clinton would defeat Donald Trump for the White House, Wall Street’s forecast that a Trump win would sink equity markets and send gold prices sharply higher also was a losing bet. Throughout the election season, Wall Street was strongly pro-Clinton. Markets moved up along with her poll...
Infrastructure hype is just that – hype!
In his victory speech, Presidential Reality Show® champ Donald Trump declared, “We’re going to rebuild our infrastructure, which will become, by the way, second to none,” while promising to “put millions of our people to work as we rebuild it” and spend “$1 trillion over a 10-year period.” Iron ore and copper prices spiked 5 and 8 percent respectively on...
Trend Forecast
This past September, The Bank for International Settlements warned of excessive borrowing, mostly in dollars, by emerging-market companies. Therefore, as US interest rates rise and the dollar gets stronger, correspondingly, as clearly evidenced by current events forming future trends, emerging-market currencies will weaken. That, in turn, will dramatically increase their debt-repayment burden. In late September, the World Trade Organization warned...
Trend Forecast
Despite the global slowdown in trade, countries whose currencies decline against the dollar will help boost their exports because a weaker exchange rate will make their products more price-competitive than US exports. Moreover, on the home front, as interest rates rise, so too will rates for home mortgages, business and consumer credit. While mortgage rates have spiked since Trump’s victory...
The Fourth Estate: RIP
You can stop blaming the mainstream media. It’s dead. Dual currents of catastrophic public-trust issues and rapidly declining advertising revenues are not cycles in the life of an industry. They are death knells. The last nail in an almost-sealed coffin was hammered in on Election Night 2016. Coverage of the campaign – dominated by the sleaze factor weighing against Donald...