Since March, investors have funneled more than $360 billion into the economies of 63 developing nations, including nearly $180 in 2020’s fourth quarter and more than $17 billion during the first three weeks of this month, according to data from the Institute of International Finance reported by the Financial Times on 23 January. Investors yanked...
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LOCKDOWNS STALL GERMAN ECONOMY
Germany has extended its broad economic lockdown through mid-February, which will cause the nation’s economy to “stagnate” in 2021’s first quarter, according to an analysis by the ifo Institute, a German thinktank. The economy can grow as much as 3 percent in the second quarter but only if the shutdown is lifted by 1 March...
ONE IN SIX CANADIAN BUSINESSES MAY CLOSE PERMANENTLY
About 181,000 Canadian businesses, or about one in every six, are seriously considering permanently closing, according to a mid-January survey by the Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB). That many closures could erase about 2.4 million jobs or about 20 percent of Canada’s private-sector jobs, the CFIB said in a statement announcing the survey’s result....
EUROPE’S BANKS PROP UP COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE
Across Europe, office buildings are deserted, malls are empty, and Main Street shops are shuttered, but major landlords are not in crisis: the continent’s central banks are buying bonds backed by commercial real estate loans, the Financial Times reported last week. The share price of Unibail Rodamco Westfield – an investment trust owning exhibit halls,...
SPECULATORS BET: DOLLAR GOING DOWN
Although the dollar has risen one percent this month against an array of foreign currencies, speculators have taken more short positions by 12 January – bets that the dollar will continue falling in value, as it did through the last half of 2020 – than at any time since March 2018, the Financial Times reported...
ASIA PILES UP DOLLAR-DENOMINATED DEBT
In the first two weeks of this year, Asian governments and corporations issued $45 billion in dollar-denominated bonds, according to financial services company Dealogic. The amount is three-quarters of the total of such debt Asia took on in all of January 2020. Governments claim they are using the new debt to cover costs of caring...
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK RECOMMITS TO CONTINUE STIMULUS
The European Central Bank (ECB) promised on 21 January to keep buying bonds and maintain interest rates at or below zero after bank president Christine Lagarde noted that the Eurozone’s economy shrank again in 2020’s final quarter and the outlook for the current quarter remains cloudy. After acknowledging that business investment and consumer spending remain...
EUROPEAN BANKS: SMALL BUSINESS BUST CAN BRING THEM DOWN
Europe’s banks hold more than €2 trillion in loans – about 40 percent of their loan portfolios – to small businesses, which increasingly are at risk of failure as the COVID pandemic continues to ravage the continent and governments keep economies locked up. The banks have few resources to offset weak loans. They already struggle...
BIDEN INSTITUTE HIDES NAMES OF DONORS
The University of Delaware’s Biden Institute, a research and policy center founded “to influence, shape, and work to solve the most pressing domestic policy problems facing America,” is refusing to name its donors, Politico has reported. The institute, founded in 2017, aspires to embody the “honesty, integrity, compassion, and courage” that it says Joe Biden represents....
BOSTON MAY LIFT RESTRICTIONS AS ECONOMY SUFFERS
Compared to 2019, Boston’s weekday restaurant reservations are 78 percent fewer, foot traffic in stores is down by half, and hotel occupancy rates are 18.2 percent, according to data reported by the Boston Globe from a variety of sources. The city’s Planning and Development office shows that: people spend less than half as much time...