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REMOTE WORK SPAWNS NEW INDUSTRIES

As corporations settle into a new normal of employees working partly or entirely at home, new businesses have sprung up to offer efficient designs for flexible office space, telecom software to connect team members, and other tools to make seamless connections among home-based and central-office workers. In 2020, companies spend $317 billion on technology to...

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U.S. TRADE DEFICIT WIDENS AGAIN IN MAY

The U.S. trade deficit expanded 3.1 percent in May from the month before, totaling $71.2 billion, the U.S. commerce department reported. The country imported 1.3 percent more, totaling $277.3 billion, and exported just 0.6 percent more, worth $206 billion. The U.S. brought in more crude oil, lumber, and other industrial raw materials, and also more...

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FED UNDER GROWING PRESSURE TO RAISE RATES SOONER

The U.S. Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates no later than late 2022 or early 2023 as more government spending pushes inflation’s rate beyond the Fed’s 2-percent target, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in a 1 July statement. Early in 2022, the Fed is likely to begin to scale back its $120-billion...

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MORE STIMULUS RISKS HIGHER INFLATION, IMF WARNS

Continued federal economic stimulus could drive inflation faster, requiring the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates sooner than it now plans to, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned in a 7 July public statement. Higher U.S. interest rates could pressure other countries to increase theirs. The resulting higher yields on government bonds could suck...

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FED BANK OFFICIAL CHIMES IN ON COVID, ECONOMY

A 10 July Financial Times article quotes from an interview the paper conducted with Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, agrees with what we have long forecasted. Ms. Daly warns that the world’s economic recovery from the ravages of the COVID War may not be as rosy as first thought....

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SERVICE SECTOR PERFORMANCE SLIPS IN JUNE

After setting a record 64 in May, the Supply Management Institute’s index measuring the performance of the economy’s service sector fell back to 60.1 in June, the lowest mark since February, as service firms grappled with supply shortages and struggled to hire enough workers.  Economists contacted by the Financial Times expected the rating to dip...

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HIRING, WAGES RISE IN JUNE

The U.S. economy added 850,000 jobs last month and, for the third consecutive month,  employers reported raising wages to attract those new and returning workers. Pay rose 0.3 percent in June from the month before and has climbed 3.6 percent year-on-year through June. Low-wage jobs received the biggest bumps, the New York Times reported. Leisure...

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CONSUMER DEBT SOARS

Consumer borrowing for car loans, personal loans, and general credit card use zoomed 39 percent in April, year over year, and 11 percent above April 2019’s level, according to credit reporting agency Equifax. In March, lenders made three million loans for vehicle leases and purchases, Equifax noted, 53 percent more than a year earlier and...

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WILL HIGHER OIL PRICE SLOW RECOVERY?

The word on The Street is that a strong economic rebound and cash-rich consumers in advanced economies will be able to absorb any ongoing rise in oil prices, according to several economists who spoke to the Wall Street Journal. Benchmark Brent crude prices have more than doubled over the past 12 months and as we...