In an internal report prepared for the Russian government and obtained by Bloomberg, analysts warn that the impact of the Ukraine war and Western sanctions will spread through the economy, leading to a longer, deeper recession than there is already and gradually hobbling sectors that now underpin the nation’s economy. The report presents three scenarios....
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BRITISH POUND SLUMPS TO 40-YEAR LOW AGAINST THE DOLLAR
The pound sterling sank to its lowest value against the dollar since 1985 as markets brace for a borrowing spree by new prime minister Liz Truss to fund a rescue plan for homes and businesses crushed by soaring energy costs. The pound fell as low as $1.14 to the buck on 7 September, but has...
ECB FEARS DAMAGE FROM WEAK EURO
The European Central Bank (ECB) decided to raise its key interest rate last week to 0.75 percent because, in part, the bank’s governing council feared the weak euro would drive inflation even higher, minutes from the group’s last meeting showed. The euro was worth $1.20 in early 2021. Earlier this year, it slid to parity...
ECB BOOSTS RATE BY THREE-QUARTERS OF A POINT
On 8 September, the 25 members of the European Central Bank (ECB’s) governing council voted unanimously to raise the bank’s key interest rate by three-quarters of a point, even though many analysts have warned that suddenly higher rates will push the region’s economy into recession. The last time the bank jacked its rate by that...
OPEC+ TRIMS PRODUCTION IN WARNING TO WEST
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allied nations (OPEC+) have agreed to pare oil production by 100,000 barrels a day, beginning next month. While the cut is largely symbolic, it underscores the group’s concern over softening oil demand amid a global economic slowdown and highlights last month’s comment by Abdulaziz bin Salman, Saudi...
TREND: LESS FOOD, HIGHER PRICES
Europe’s farmers and food producers are warning that basic commodities, including many common fruits and vegetables, will be in short supply and prices could soar this winter as they press governments for help to cope with record high energy prices The European Union’s (EU’s) farmers union and two major food producers already have begun to...
WHEN THE ECONOMY FALLS, JOBS GO WITH IT
Dragflation: Economic growth declining and inflation rising… plus the pressure of interest rate hikes that are drying up the cheap money pool are causing companies in many sectors to lay off employees. To illustrate the employment trends and the socioeconomic implications, each week we will list job losses. Crypto companies laid off nearly 5,000 employees...
BUSINESS TRAVEL BUST
Pleasure travel bookings rival or exceed 2019’s levels and Labor Day weekend bookings topped pre-COVID numbers, major U.S. airlines are reporting. The flood of enthusiastic travelers has overwhelmed short-staffed airports and carriers. In contrast, business travel—traditionally airlines’ largest single source of profits—will not equal 2019’s volumes until 2026, 18 months later than estimated last year,...
MOST COVID-ERA “BOOMERANG KIDS” STILL LIVING WITH MOM AND DAD
About 67 percent of Millennials and Generation Z young adults who moved in with parents when the COVID War began are still there, a survey by financial broker LendingTree found. People ages 25 to 34 make up the largest cohort of adult children living “at home.” A small number have invited their parents to live...
MORTGAGE RATES RISE AGAIN
The national average interest rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage moved up to 5.89 percent last week, almost double the rate a year ago and the highest in 14 years, dealing another blow to an already weakening housing market. Home prices in most major U.S. housing markets have fallen, with 10 percent of the areas...